US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar back to flat with tensions brewing in the Middle East

The US Dollar heads back to flat after taking a step back earlier. The Greenback gave up its earlier gains against the Chinese Yuan and the Japanese Yen this Monday. The US Dollar Index trades near 105.00 and flirts with a break below. 

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD rises toward 1.0800 on USD weakness

EUR/USD rises toward 1.0800 on USD weakness

EUR/USD trades in positive territory above 1.0750 in the second half of the day on Monday. The US Dollar struggles to find demand as investors reassess the Fed's rate outlook following Friday's disappointing labor market data. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD closes in on 1.2600 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD closes in on 1.2600 as risk mood improves

Following Friday's volatile action, GBP/USD pushes higher toward 1.2600 on Monday. Soft April jobs report from the US and the improvement seen in risk mood make it difficult for the US Dollar to gather strength.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY consolidates below 154.00 in Japan’s holiday-truncated week

USD/JPY consolidates below 154.00 in Japan’s holiday-truncated week

USD/JPY holds gains near 154.00 despite soft US Dollar. Weak US data builds pressure on the US Dollar. The speculation for Japan intervention to support the Japanese Yen remains firm.

USD/JPY News

Gold gathers bullish momentum, climbs above $2,320

Gold gathers bullish momentum, climbs above $2,320

Gold trades decisively higher on the day above $2,320 in the American session. Retreating US Treasury bond yields after weaker-than-expected US employment data and escalating geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD stretch higher.

Gold News

WTI advances to $79 on geopolitical risks and soft US Dollar

WTI advances to $79 on geopolitical risks and soft US Dollar

WTI capitalizes on multiple tailwinds. The weak US job market fuels expectations for the Fed to reduce interest rates from September. Geopolitical risks deepen fears of tightening oil supply.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.